HGCA gives understanding to risk mangement - 8th Dec 2008

Jack Watts, Economist HGCA gave the Somerset Pig Club and insight into Prospects for 2008/09 and beyond, Managing uncertainty and Developing a strategy to buy your pig feed.
Volatility dominates the global wheat market, Ethonol is key for US maize supply and demand, GM issues continue to fuel uncertainty in the soyameal markets, we are still recovering from a 2007 deficit in Soyabean supply and to top it off we have a credit crunch!

Global feed markets are complex, interrelated and not easy to predict, however Jack Watts gave clear messages on the fundamentals but was sure not to try and get anyone to trick him into a price prediction!

Jack gave Somerset Pig Club an excellent and factual presentation. The group were already very informed about many of the global issues that had faced world markets and the effect that CAP reform made on EU stocks but it is the future that counts and what, if any, security can be bought into purchasing feeds. This security or insurance of price can be gained through a CALL Option, although it is impossible to say whether buying now or next month will save you £10/tonne, Jack explained that Options can guarantee your price going forward so you have that as a fact that you can build into your COP and business plan, something you can control.


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